From Partnership to Disparity: Where Are the Disputes Between Russia and Armenia Heading?
Armenia is shifting its foreign policy from a strategic alliance with Russia towards deeper partnership with the United States and the West, potentially leading to heightened tensions with Moscow.
Armenia is undergoing a significant transformation in its foreign policy, progressively distancing itself from its strategic alliance with Russia while deepening its partnerships with the United States and Western nations. This shift could mark a critical juncture in the relations between Yerevan and Moscow, as Armenia seeks to diversify its foreign policy away from its historical reliance on Russia. Recent visits and agreements with US officials suggest a clear move towards incorporating Western influences in Armenia's defense and energy sectors.
The recent visit by US Vice President JD Vance to Armenia has underscored this transition, resulting in several agreements that signal American interest and investment in the region. Notably, the signing of a cooperation agreement focused on the peaceful use of nuclear energy and the announcement of potential investments of up to $9 billion in Armenia's energy sector reflects a significant commitment from Washington. This includes plans to replace old nuclear facilities with new, standard modular reactors, which points to a long-term strategic partnership aimed at strengthening Armeniaβs energy independence.
Additionally, the Armenian government has taken steps to enhance its military capabilities by purchasing US defense systems for approximately $11 million, a move that further illustrates a pivot away from Russian military support. The introduction of drones and the launch of a second phase for developing an AI-powered supercomputer signify a broader ambition to modernize Armenia's technology and military infrastructure. Such developments not only indicate Armenia's intent to fortify its defenses but also amplify concerns in Moscow about the erosion of its influence in the region.