The article explores the implications of the recent National Defense Strategy (NDS) announced by the US Department of Defense, which aims to deter China while avoiding direct confrontation. Senior fellow Yun Sung at the Stimson Center suggests that under the Trump administration's national security strategy, there is a growing belief within China that the US may refrain from intervening in Taiwan-related issues. This perspective might embolden China's stance on Taiwan, seeing it as part of its sphere of influence, especially if the US is perceived as adopting a non-interventionist approach beyond the Western Hemisphere.

Further, the article highlights recent developments in China's military leadership, including the dismissal of two generals from the Central Military Commission. President Xi Jinping has been consolidating control over the military by eliminating those deemed disloyal or at odds with his policy views, which may lead to the Chinese military increasingly aligning with Xi's ideology. However, the artist notes that these purges at the top levels will not necessarily affect lower-ranking officers or soldiers, indicating a potential disconnect in the military ranks.

As the article concludes, it reflects on broader security challenges beyond Taiwan, indicating that global security is under strain in various regions including Ukraine, Venezuela, Iran, and North Korea, as well as issues like cyber security and climate change. The discourse around US-China relations and Taiwan will continue to evolve, greatly impacting regional stability and international relations.