Polls conducted prior to the recent elections in Aragón have demonstrated a remarkable level of accuracy, successfully forecasting a clear victory for the Popular Party, albeit without a majority. The average polling error this time was recorded at 1.6 points per party, which is better than the historical average of 2 points in Spain. Notably, the average of the polls analyzed further refined this to just 1.3 points, with Sociométrica and Electomania standing out as the most reliable sources for estimations.

Despite the generally favorable performance of the polls, there were notable discrepancies, particularly concerning two parties. The surveys consistently overestimated the Popular Party by around 3 points, which reflects a trend observed in other elections as well. Conversely, they underestimated the Chunta Aragonesista by 2.4 points, indicating a mismatch between public sentiment and what the polls were measuring. Such inaccuracies can significantly impact political strategies and the public's perception of party performance.

As the political landscape in Spain continues to evolve, the implications of these polling results are significant. Given that this is a critical period leading up to the 2026 elections, the role of polling data in shaping electoral strategies and influencing voter turnout will be crucial. The challenge for polling organizations will be to refine their methodologies to better capture the dynamics of voter preferences and ensure greater accuracy in future predictions, especially in light of how persistent biases can skew perceptions of party strengths.