Carnival in Ceará is anticipated to be influenced by rain, with the Cearense Foundation of Meteorology and Water Resources (Funceme) predicting significant rainfall between February 13 and February 15. The southern and western regions of Ceará, including the Cariri, southern Sertão Central, and Inhamuns, are expected to experience the heaviest precipitation. Rainfall in these areas may vary in intensity from weak to strong, particularly during the afternoon and evening hours.

In contrast, other macro-regions, including the coastal areas, are forecasted to have isolated rain showers, characterized as weak to moderate. In these regions, the sky is expected to alternate between partly cloudy and clear throughout the day, thus creating a varied weather experience during Carnival. The weather conditions could pose challenges for Carnival festivities in areas with expected heavy rainfall.

While the projected rains might dampen outdoor activities in the regions most affected, they also hold significance for the local ecosystem, improving water replenishment in a typically dry period. Local authorities may need to remain vigilant and prepare for the potential impacts of heavy rainfall, especially in urban areas like Fortaleza and its metropolitan region, where flooding could occur if precipitation is significant.