Feb 13 • 06:50 UTC 🇵🇱 Poland Rzeczpospolita

Who will take power after Kadyrov? A rebellion would be a defeat for Putin

The article explores the potential power transition in Chechnya after Ramzan Kadyrov, focusing on his son Adam Kadyrov as a candidate and the implications of this leadership on stability in the region.

The article discusses the future leadership of Chechnya following the tenure of Ramzan Kadyrov, who has been a controversial figure in power. Adam Kadyrov, at just 18 years old, is seen as a serious contender to take over his father's position, raising concerns about whether such a young leader would effectively govern a vital and volatile region. The potential for instability arises from the notion that Putin might appoint someone so inexperienced, which could lead to challenges in maintaining order in Chechnya.

The article references a troubling incident that occurred in September 2023, where a video surfaced of Adam Kadyrov physically assaulting a young man accused of burning a Quran. This episode, which was shared by Ramzan Kadyrov on his social media, highlights a possible trend of violence and authoritarian control that could be fostering a dangerous environment in Chechnya. It raises questions about the future of governance and the approach that the next leadership might take in handling dissent and maintaining stability within the region.

The implications of Kadyrov’s succession extend beyond mere leadership; it points to Putin's broader strategy in managing regional conflicts and exerting influence over Chechnya. Should a rebellion or instability occur under Adam Kadyrov’s rule, it would not only reflect poorly on the new leader but also signify a significant failure for Putin, who has sought to stabilize the Caucasus region. The situation is precarious, with international observers watching closely how these dynamics play out in light of both human rights concerns and regional security.

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