Feb 12 • 11:14 UTC 🇵🇱 Poland Wprost

Long-term forecast for Poland. Will the polar vortex collapse? Meteorologists warn

Meteorologists are warning that a rapidly warming stratosphere could lead to the collapse of the polar vortex, which may significantly alter weather patterns in Poland this March.

Meteorologists have recently observed that conditions surrounding the polar vortex, which previously seemed to be stabilizing, have now become more complicated. Predictions indicated that the polar vortex could remain intact until the end of winter, leading to an early spring. However, new weather models suggest that a rapid warming of the stratosphere, located about 10-50 kilometers above the Earth, could trigger the collapse of this cold air zone over the Arctic, with significant consequences expected as soon as next week.

This impending collapse will create disturbances that could take approximately three weeks to affect the lowest layer of the atmosphere, the troposphere. Consequently, the fallout from the disintegration of the polar vortex is anticipated to be felt in mid-latitude regions, including Europe, in March. Such atmospheric turmoil could signal the absence of a pre-spring period in Poland this year, contrasting sharply with the usual seasonal patterns observed in previous years.

The implications of these changes could be far-reaching, affecting not only the weather in Poland but also potentially shifting climate dynamics across Europe. As meteorologists continue to monitor these developments, the public and authorities are advised to prepare for possible weather anomalies that may disrupt traditional seasonal expectations this coming March.

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