In Japan, agricultural bureaucrats are facing a crisis of confidence as shocking data reveals alarming declines in rice inventory, causing supply concerns amidst the so-called "Reiwa rice crisis." This crisis has seen the price of rice double in just one year, as the Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries (MAFF) miscalculated both supply and demand for rice, initially projecting a reduction in private stock by 200,000 tons compared to the previous year. However, the actual figure turned out to be a startling 156,000 tons, significantly lower than expected, marking the lowest level since 1999, which further exacerbates the public’s anxiety over food availability. The MAFF's initial misjudgments stemmed from an overestimation of rice production and an underestimation of demand, worsened by the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic which altered consumer behavior. As the summer of 2024 approaches, and with the impending House of Representatives elections, additional pressures have surfaced as the rice market becomes unstable. The authorities have begun discussions about releasing stored rice to alleviate shortages, yet their delayed decision-making has contributed to soaring prices, leading to controversial restrictions in supermarkets on rice purchases, such as limits on quantities per customer. As the officials grapple with these issues, they communicate with distribution businesses to assess the situation, only to face uncertainty about the summer months ahead. The MAFF's lack of confidence is palpable, as responsibilities stack under the weight of public scrutiny and impending unrest surrounding food security.