The European Union (EU) is currently experiencing a significant internal rift as Germany appears to move closer to Italy and further away from France. This situation is coming to the forefront during the meetings of Defense Ministers and the Munich Security Conference, where pressing issues about the EU's future concerning security, political federation, and economic competitiveness will be discussed. The divergence between Germany and France raises concerns about the EU's ability to maintain coherence in its strategic direction, especially given the backdrop of recent geopolitical challenges.

Since 2013, the EU has generally displayed a commendable unity regarding support for Ukraine. However, during crucial moments, there have been notable operational difficulties exacerbated by pro-Russian sentiments held by certain national governments and a reluctance from numerous large states to take decisive actions. This has led to a situation where essential decisions regarding military aid and broader strategic initiatives are being debated, especially in light of Germany's hesitancy to fully commit to comprehensive military support for Ukraine despite previous commitments.

The upcoming meetings are crucial as they could set the tone for the EU's collective response to both internal and external challenges. The discussions about potential political federalization, as suggested by Italian Prime Minister Mario Draghi, could reshape the EU's future landscape. With significant implications for security, economic competitiveness, and diplomatic relations within Europe, these events will be pivotal in determining whether the EU can overcome its divisions and move forward together or face a deeper fracturing of its unity.