The hidden cost of Putin’s war: A more dependent Russia
Russia's war in Ukraine has led to increased economic and political dependence on China, undermining its sovereignty.
The ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine has forced Russian President Vladimir Putin to redefine his war as a battle for 'sovereignty.' However, despite some territorial gains, Russia's dependence on China has grown significantly due to Western sanctions that have crippled its economy. Analysts suggest that this dependence signifies a shift in power dynamics where Moscow may have to concede aspects of its sovereignty to Beijing.
Historically, Russia has been attempting a 'pivot to the East' to enhance its geopolitical standing; however, the war with Ukraine has expedited this alignment with China. The Kremlin's need for economic support and strategic partnership has further entrenched its reliance on Beijing, with concerns being raised that this relationship could lead to asymmetrical power dynamics, where Russia finds itself on the losing end.
Consequently, the long-term implications for Russia may include compromised sovereignty and an erosion of its traditional influence in the region. By aligning more closely with China, Russia risks becoming a subordinate partner, which poses questions about its future independence and the sustainability of its foreign policy.