Damascus Options and the Fate of Suwayda
The article discusses the evolving political and security situation in Suwayda, Syria, amidst the backdrop of military successes in Eastern Syria and the challenges posed by local factions.
After the successful military operations in Eastern Syria, where the central government's forces managed to exert control while minimizing losses effectively, the focus shifts south to Suwayda. This region faces a stalemate due to local factions led by Sheikh Hikmat al-Hajri maintaining security control and resisting the proposed roadmap agreed upon in Amman under U.S. supervision last September. Recent negotiations in Paris in January reaffirmed a joint coordination mechanism for negotiating southern Syria's future, with a specific focus on the Suwayda area.
The downfall of the Kurdish autonomous administration project has significantly reshaped the power dynamics in Syria, particularly affecting Suwayda's situation. The article highlights how external influences and shifting alliances are impacting local governance and security in the region, especially with the financial and military support the Suwayda factions are purportedly receiving from the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF). This new reality implies that the changes in the regional power structure could alter the balance of control in Suwayda, leading to potential conflicts or new power arrangements.
Moreover, the decline of the Kurdish administration's project in Eastern Syria will likely weaken the negotiating power of the remaining local factions, as external backing shifts. The article suggests that the interplay between local and international actors will determine the future of Suwayda, emphasizing the need for careful observation of these developments to understand the broader implications for Syria's ongoing conflict and power struggles.