Meteorologists in Lithuania are predicting that February's average temperature will be 3 degrees Celsius below the standard climate norm of -2.5 degrees, alongside a potential increase of precipitation by 20% compared to the long-term average from 1991 to 2020. Similar forecasts are supported by another model, which also indicates that February will be colder than normal but with precipitation levels close to historical averages. This suggests a significant shift in weather patterns as compared to previous years.

Reviewing historical weather data, Februarys from 2021 to 2025 have shown varying temperatures: 2021 was notably cold, while 2022 to 2024 experienced unusually warm temperatures, with 2025 aligning more closely to average norms. Precipitation levels bore significant variation; both 2021 and 2025 had lower than average rains, while 2022 and 2024 saw above-average levels. This year's forecast aligns with trends pointing to variable weather, challenging predictions based solely on historical patterns.

The provided forecasts come from ECMWF weather models, which highlight predicted anomalies in temperature and precipitation for the coming weeks, underscoring the inherent uncertainties in long-term weather forecasting. Meteorologists continue to monitor these patterns closely as they advise on potential weather shifts in the coming months.