Feb 9 • 05:16 UTC 🇬🇷 Greece Naftemporiki

Stock Markets: The Rally Did Not Convince Goldman – The Algorithms and the 3 Trillion That Scare

Goldman Sachs is cautious about the recent rally in stock markets, pointing out underlying vulnerabilities due to algorithmic trading and liquidity issues.

Following a notable rally on Wall Street, Goldman Sachs expresses skepticism about the sustainability of this upward trend, highlighting the fragility of current market conditions. Despite reports of record highs and daily gains, the algorithm-driven trading landscape creates uncertainties, particularly amidst potential volatility that might not be transitory. The firm notes that sell-offs driven by algorithmic funds contribute to an unstable environment, raising alarms among investors.

Goldman Sachs' trading desk indicates that trend-following algorithmic funds have shifted into net sales of stocks, reflecting a strategic pivot that doesn't take macroeconomic or corporate results into account. Instead, these strategies rely solely on technical signals, leading to significant sell-offs whenever alerts are triggered. This decision-making process is starkly disconnected from immediate economic news and could create abrupt market movements as algorithms dictate trading actions.

In this context, the S&P 500 has surpassed levels that, according to these algorithms, would traditionally suggest a sell-off, thus indicating that the current momentum might not hold in the face of underlying market stresses. The integration of algorithmic trading and decreasing liquidity raises questions about the resilience of market rallies in the near term. Investors will be watching closely as this new reality unfolds, especially given the ongoing discussions surrounding artificial intelligence's impact on the markets.

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