For the first time in decades, the absence of the New START treaty means that the United States and Russia, the world's foremost nuclear powers, are no longer constrained by any agreements limiting their nuclear arsenals. The New START treaty, which lapsed recently, not only set limits on the deployment of nuclear weapons but also mandated notifications of their relocation, thus promoting transparency and trust between the two nations. With its expiration, the potential for both countries to expand their nuclear capabilities is now unfettered, raising significant concerns about global security.

Currently, global estimates indicate that there are over 12,200 nuclear weapons possessed by nine recognized nuclear-armed nations. The U.S. and Russia dominate this figure, owning approximately 10,636 nuclear weapons. This looming threat of unchecked nuclear armament comes amidst a backdrop of international tension and geopolitical interests, where both powers may seek to leverage their military capabilities. Local and international observers are alarmed at the implications of these developments for arms races, and the overall stability of nuclear deterrence strategies.

Furthermore, the situation is compounded by calls for new nuclear agreements as stakeholders worry about the ensuing chaos in arms control without a formal treaty. The potential for a renewed nuclear arms race could escalate tensions worldwide, prompting nations to ramp up their defense strategies. As various countries watch closely, the quest for a new framework for nuclear arms control becomes increasingly urgent to prevent misunderstandings or escalated conflicts arising from a lack of scrutiny in nuclear weapons dynamics.