Recent polling results from GAD3 for Aragón TV indicate that the Partido Popular (PP) may secure a relative majority in the Aragonese parliament, obtaining between 26 and 29 seats, which is slightly less than or more than their current representation but still far from the 34 seats needed for an absolute majority. Jorge Azcón, the current president of the community, could potentially rely on regional parties or Vox to reach a governing majority. However, achieving an absolute majority appears unlikely as the strength of Vox increases significantly from 7 to between 13 to 14 seats in these projections.

Azcón's alternative strategy would involve alliances with regional parties which may gain representation, including Chunta Aragonesista, projected to increase from 3 to 4 or 5 seats, and Aragón Existe, which is likely to maintain its 3 seats or lose one. Despite these possible coalition routes, the historical context suggests that gaining their support may be challenging due to differing political ideologies and interests. Azcón's reliance on Vox, which is growing in popularity, complicates the governance landscape in Aragon, as it reflects a trend of increasing fragmentation and polarization in Spanish politics.

The implications of these polling results suggest a politically tense atmosphere in Aragon, where the PP's victory might not translate into stable governance without a clear agreement with Vox or regional parties. The future governance of Aragon could thus hinge on tactical negotiations and coalition building, showcasing the ongoing shifts and uncertainties in the political framework across Spain, particularly as the dynamics between traditional parties and the rise of populist movements continue to evolve.