Feb 8 β€’ 11:39 UTC πŸ‡±πŸ‡Ή Lithuania 15min

Forecasts: In the Japanese elections, a crushing victory for Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi

Sanae Takaichi is projected to lead the Liberal Democratic Party to a significant victory in Japan's elections, regaining a strong majority in the House of Representatives.

Recent projections indicate that Sanae Takaichi, currently enjoying rising popularity, will lead the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) to a decisive victory in the upcoming Japanese elections. According to media calculations, the LDP is forecasted to regain a significant majority in the lower house of parliament, with estimates suggesting they could secure between 274 and 328 of the 465 available seats. This marks a substantial increase from their current holding of 198 seats, highlighting Takaichi's effective leadership since taking office.

Furthermore, along with their coalition partner, the Japan Innovation Party (JIP), the ruling block is expected to win between 302 and 366 seats. This potential win would grant the ruling coalition a two-thirds majority in the lower house for the first time since the 2017 elections, which were overseen by Takaichi's mentor, the late former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe. Acquiring 310 or more seats would significantly strengthen their legislative power.

The implications of this election are considerable, not only for Japan's domestic policies but also for its international relations. A strengthened LDP under Takaichi could lead to the continuation or acceleration of Abe-era policies, with an emphasis on defense and economic reform, and a more assertive stance on Japan's role in global affairs. With Japan facing multiple challenges, including regional security threats and economic recovery post-COVID-19, the outcomes of these elections will be closely watched by both local and international observers.

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