Negotiations to end the conflict in Ukraine are reportedly gaining speed, as outlined by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky's timeline, which aims for resolution by June. Following talks in Abu Dhabi, another round of negotiations is set to take place in the United States next week. A significant focus of these discussions is the contentious issue of territorial concessions, alongside the critical need for security guarantees that would take effect should there be any breach of the ceasefire by Russia.

This week, the Financial Times published a draft agreement concerning security measures, indicating that Western intervention, including U.S. involvement, would be activated within 72 hours of a new Russian attack. However, sources suggest that Kiev harbors doubts regarding the reliability of security guarantees from its allies. In light of these uncertainties, Ukraine is preparing an alternative strategy, referred to as a 'steel porcupine,' aimed at deterring any further aggression from Moscow once an agreement is reached.

This strategy reflects a broader concern within Ukraine about maintaining its sovereignty and ensuring national security in the face of potential violations by Russia. As Ukraine positions itself in anticipation of future challenges, the outcome of the upcoming negotiations and the nature of the international response will be crucial in shaping the region's stability and peace prospects.