Carlo Masala discusses the possibility of Russia attacking a NATO country in 2028, suggesting that European countries may be unprepared if the U.S. does not intervene.
Carlo Masala, a German political scientist, has stirred significant interest within European political circles with his recent book 'If Russia Were to Win', where he imagines a 2028 scenario in which Russian President Vladimir Putin might attempt to seize the Estonian city of Narva following a hypothetical victory in the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. Masala's theory raises urgent questions about the preparedness of NATO allies in the event of such an aggression, especially if the United States were to adopt a passive stance. He prompts a critical evaluation of Europe’s defense strategies and the reliance on U.S. intervention.
During a visit to the Bundeswehr University in Munich, Masala highlights the juxtaposition of military and civilian life, encapsulating the current tensions facing Germany and Europe at large. As snow blankets the campus, students train for potential conflicts arising from Russia's aggressive posture to the east and uncertainties regarding the U.S. role as a protector to the west. This environment fosters a new generation of military leaders who must reckon with the realities of geopolitical instability brought on by Russia and consider the implications of America's evolving foreign policy.
Masala's insights bring to the fore the precarious nature of European security, suggesting that the evolving dynamics within NATO and the concept of collective defense must be reassessed in light of modern threats. He emphasizes the need for European nations to bolster their independent defense capabilities, especially in scenarios where American support might not be guaranteed, underscoring the urgency for a robust and coordinated response to potential Russian expansionism post-2028.
